Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 155.787887 182.576813 214.637683 256.452228 310.491897 3.793532e+02 476.099667
2025-02-16 120.549506 152.596314 195.563213 259.602806 356.910213 5.074842e+02 777.995143
2025-02-23 101.619249 135.023763 183.231753 261.996180 396.907405 6.412153e+02 1190.963459
2025-03-02 89.752761 123.746271 175.698055 267.167623 440.860727 8.048969e+02 1841.719673
2025-03-09 80.685745 114.547476 168.742346 270.305261 481.407550 9.890747e+02 2847.498900
2025-03-16 71.944848 104.300410 157.848859 262.987196 497.428225 1.129195e+03 4054.726795
2025-03-23 67.843261 100.806249 157.579530 275.585695 563.330704 1.468612e+03 7552.480522
2025-03-30 61.298315 92.331739 146.988204 264.364091 566.173435 1.613363e+03 10900.402158
2025-04-06 57.454000 87.996614 143.290878 267.012469 607.796905 1.960358e+03 20893.638239
2025-04-13 53.710027 83.391768 138.362420 265.681007 637.966774 2.311475e+03 42458.175378
2025-04-20 52.076797 82.362293 140.220125 280.843329 729.185150 3.178729e+03 214710.545714
2025-04-27 51.705025 83.576273 146.766243 309.720802 890.633196 5.104331e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 48.136982 78.696886 140.481691 304.976090 929.380212 6.344969e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.563895 75.530128 137.589159 309.556880 1017.852060 8.974573e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.184498 72.475645 134.461628 312.639963 1105.913810 1.291283e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.271787 70.145173 132.622085 319.257092 1223.969576 2.050262e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.403388 67.709680 130.167610 323.277435 1336.574389 3.356140e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.035207 64.022990 124.213277 313.908016 1355.586197 4.470704e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.115600 63.289808 125.400253 330.053837 1584.367904 1.214969e+05 NaN
2025-06-22 33.900123 59.606196 118.717415 315.668920 1557.604666 1.582648e+05 NaN
2025-06-29 32.637953 57.881150 116.839657 319.058468 1694.872297 4.574137e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.270691 55.818718 113.839747 317.353966 1788.766710 1.655798e+06 NaN
2025-07-13 30.796879 55.679755 115.890551 336.813987 2152.137763 NaN NaN